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National Times Election Polls: Why majority of Cameroonians wouldn’t vote Biya in a two party Presidential election

Seventy-four percent of Cameroonians have asserted that they would not vote for President Paul Biya in a two party Presidential election, according to the pre-electoral polls conducted by the National Times News.

Eighteen percent of voters said they would vote for the President, while eight percent remains undecided.

Survey done by The National Times

It was in a bid to seize up the effervescence of the October 7 Presidential election and to find out what Cameroonians think about Biya’s decision to seek re-election after 36 uninterrupted years as Cameroon’s President that we asked Cameroonians, who are also members of the Electoral College of the forthcoming Presidential poll in Cameroon the question: “Suppose the 2018 Presidential election is a Two-Party election, which Party will you vote for –CPDM vs Opposition (Coalition)”?

 The National Times polls were conducted from March 26 to July15, 2018 and drew responses from 480 registered voters with an error margin of 4.5 percentage points.

National Times used online, Facebook, Whatsapp surveys, and conducted over 326 WhatsApp and mobile calls.

The polls reflect deep resentment across voters of all ages in Cameroon. Over ninety-seven percent of Anglophones said they would not vote for Biya. While seventy-three percent of Francophones said they would not vote for the President.

Survey by The National Times

Sixty-three percent of those who participated in the survey were only French-speakers, while twenty-two percent were only English speakers. Those who participated in the survey live in Yaounde (35.6%), Douala (34.7%), Baffousam (10.4%), Buea (7.9 %),Bamenda (7.3%), Limbe (3%), and Garoua (2.1%).

When asked five major reasons why they will not vote for Paul Biya, majority said unemployment (53.7%), followed by the instability and insecurity (21.3%), and corruption (10.3%).

A few said Paul Biya has stayed in power for too long and should give someone else a chance to govern Cameroonians.

Paul Biya will be running in the next elections under the ruling Cameroon’s People Democratic Movement (CPDM) to extend his 36 years in power. He will be competing against a divided opposition and is expected to win the elections.

It is unlikely that the polls results will reflect the final elections outcome as the previous electoral processes have been marked by irregularities, and Paul Biya appoints and controls members of the electoral board.

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